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HPmag | Magazine | Fall 2003 | Special Report

special report

History Lesson
To better understand, predict and prepare for tropical storms, the National Hurricane Center revisits its extensive historical database.


Major revisions to the Atlantic basin hurricane database (known as HURDAT) have just been completed for the second half of the 19th century and early 20th century and have turned up some interesting facts. For example, the busiest hurricane season ever recorded in the United States was 1886, which saw seven hurricanes make landfall—including one Category 4 hurricane that hit Texas.

HURDAT is the official record of tropical storms and hurricanes for the Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea, including those that have made landfall in the United States. Every year, the NOAA National Hurricane Center, which maintains HURDAT, adds data from the most recent season. This database is used for a variety of purposes, including setting of appropriate building codes for coastal zones, risk assessment for emergency managers, analysis of potential losses for insurance and business interests, intensity forecasting techniques, verification of official and model predictions of track and intensity, seasonal forecasting and climatic change studies.

HURDAT has been updated only twice before. The first time was in 2001 when data for years 1851 to 1885 were added to the database. The second time was August 2002 when Hurricane Andrew was upgraded to a Category 5.

REANALYSIS AND CORRECTION

“There are many reasons why a reanalysis of the HURDAT dataset is both needed and timely,” said Chris Landsea, a research meteorologist with the NOAA Hurricane Research Division and lead scientist on the project. “HURDAT contained many systematic and random errors that needed correction. Additionally, as our understanding of tropical cyclones had developed, analysis techniques at the NOAA National Hurricane Center changed over the years and led to biases in the historical database that had not been addressed. Another difficulty in applying the hurricane database to studies concerned with landfalling events was the lack of exact location, time and intensity information at landfall.

“Finally, recent efforts led by the late Jose Fernandez-Partagas, a Cuban research meteorologist in Miami, FL, uncovered previously undocumented historical tropical cyclones in the mid-1800s to early 1900s that have greatly increased our knowledge of these past events, which also had not been incorporated into the HURDAT database.”

More than 5,000 additions and alterations were approved for the years 1851 to 1910 by the NOAA National Hurricane Center’s Best Track Change Committee. This same process was used for the upgrade of 1992’s Hurricane Andrew to a Category 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale in August 2002.

In addition to the groundbreaking work by Partagas, additional analyses, digitization and quality control of the data was carried out by researchers at the NOAA Hurricane Research Division funded by the NOAA Office of Global Programs. Over the next two years, this re-analysis will continue to progress through the remainder of the 20th Century.

WHAT’S IN HURDAT?

The following is an example of some of the information contained in HURDAT.

1. Busiest hurricane season ever for the United States: The 1886 hurricane season has been analyzed to be the busiest on record for the continental United States. Seven hurricanes were recorded to have hit the U.S.

• One Category 2 hurricane into Texas and Louisiana in June
• Two Category 2 hurricanes into northwest Florida in June
• One Category 1 hurricane into northwest Florida in July
• One Category 4 hurricane into Texas in August
• One Category 1 hurricane into Texas in September
• One Category 3 hurricane into Louisiana in October.

The previous busiest hurricane season for the United States was 1985 with six hurricanes making landfall.

2. Busy decade for the United States Atlantic seaboard: The 1890s was one of the busiest decades on record for the Atlantic seaboard of the United States. Four major hurricanes impacted the coast from Georgia northward:

• 1893: Category 3 Sea Islands Hurricane in Georgia and South Carolina and another Category 3 in South Carolina and North Carolina the same year.
• 1898: Category 4 in Georgia
• 1899: Category 3 in North Carolina.

Only the decade of the 1950s had more strong hurricanes making landfall along this part of the coast, going back to 1851.

3. Cycles of hurricane activity: These records reflect the existence of cycles of hurricane activity, rather than trends toward more frequent or stronger hurricanes.

In general, the period of the 1850s to the mid-1860s was quiet. The late 1860s through the 1890s were busy, and the first decade of the 1900s was quiet. (There were five hurricane seasons with at least 10 hurricanes per year in the active period of the late 1860s to the 1890s and none in the quiet periods.)

Earlier work had linked these cycles of busy and quiet hurricane periods in the 20th Century to natural changes in Atlantic Ocean temperatures.

4. First time categorization of catastrophic 19th-century U.S. landfalling hurricanes: Several catastrophic hurricanes were categorized for the first time by the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale.

These included the “Chenier Caminanda Hurricane”* that struck Louisiana in 1893 and killed about 2,000 people, which was assigned a Category 4 at landfall; the 1893 “Sea Islands Hurricane” killed 1,000 to 2,000 people in Georgia and South Carolina and was ranked a Category 3 for its impact in both states; a hurricane in 1881 that also impacted Georgia and South Carolina and killed about 700 people was assigned Category 2 status.

These hurricanes rank Nos. 2, 4 and 5, respectively, in the largest number of fatalities for continental U.S. landfalling tropical storms and hurricanes ever.

5. Strongest U.S. landfalling hurricane of the 1851 to 1910 era: The 1886 “Indianola” hurricane was analyzed as having 155-mph maximum sustained winds, a Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale Category 4 (approaching Category 5) and was the strongest to strike the United States between 1851 and 1910. This hurricane destroyed the town of Indianola, TX, due to its winds and 15-foot storm surge. The town was never rebuilt.

This also was the strongest hurricane of record anywhere in the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico or Caribbean Sea during the same time period. (No Category 5 hurricanes were recorded to have hit the United States between 1851 and 1910. However, records are somewhat incomplete along in Gulf Coast and Florida because there were some coastal regions with few to no inhabitants. Thus, there may be a few systems misdiagnosed in intensity in that period.)

6. Longest lasting hurricane on record: Storm No. 3 (also known as the “San Ciriaco” hurricane for its impact in Puerto Rico) in 1899 has been re-analyzed to now tie the record for longest lasting tropical cyclone in the Atlantic basin.

It began on August 3 in the tropical North Atlantic, hit Puerto Rico as a Category 4 hurricane on August 8, hit North Carolina as a Category 3 hurricane on August 18, transformed into an extratropical system north of Bermuda on August 21, redeveloped into a tropical storm on August 26, went through the Azores Islands as a Category 1 hurricane on September 3 and finally dissipated as an extratropical storm on September 4.

It was a storm system for 33 days and a tropical storm or hurricane for 28 of those days. This ties the record with Hurricane Ginger of 1971, which also was a tropical cyclone for 28 days.

7. Most hurricanes ever in one day: On August 22, 1893, four hurricanes were occurring simultaneously. Storm No. 3 approaching Nova Scotia, Canada; Storm No. 4 between Bermuda and the Bahamas; Storm No. 6 northeast of the Lesser Antilles; and Storm No. 7 west of the Cape Verde Islands.

Storm No. 4 would end up making a direct hit on New York City as a Category 1 hurricane two days later and Storm No. 6 ended up hitting Georgia and South Carolina as a Category 3 hurricane (the “Sea Islands Hurricane”) and killing 1,000 to 2,000 people.

The only other known date with four hurricanes occurring at the same time was September 25, 1998, when hurricanes Georges, Ivan, Jeanne and Karl were in existence.

* Tropical storms and hurricanes were not formally given names until the 1950 hurricane season. Before this time, individual systems were sometimes known for the location that they impacted (e.g., the “Indianola” hurricane of 1886 for its impact in the town of Indianola, TX) or by the day of the saint for hurricanes that hit Hispanic locations (e.g., “San Ciriaco” for an 1899 hurricane hitting Puerto Rico on August 8).


 

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